I have a nagging feeling that we’re on the precipice of economic disaster, with only a brief reprieve because Trump decided to delay some tariffs (but still hammering Chinese imports with oppressive rates that US businesses and consumers will have to pay).
Today, indexes seem to be teetering on historic markers—not the worst they’ve been, but trending worse. 10-year T-bond rates are rising, but not at historic highs. US dollar index is slumping, but not at historic lows. The indexes have fallen, but they’re about the same as a year ago. Everything seems to be on edge of balance, ready to topple over.
I’m fearful for the encroaching “slowly, then all at once” moment. I’m not sure what market moves I should make, if any, because I’m a long-term investor and have no idea how to respond to short-term market conditions.